XAUUSD, the gold-to-US dollar trading pair, started the week with a gap down but managed to close that gap, albeit without garnering sufficient buyer interest to sustain the upward momentum. This price action has raised concerns about the bearish sentiment surrounding gold, potentially leading it to test the key level support zone around 1820-1825 shown in a green rectangle.
Looking ahead to Monday's New York trading session, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Powell's speech. However, before that event, the market will receive crucial data in the form of the ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing Prices reports. These indicators will provide insights into the strength of the US dollar (USD). Economists are anticipating a slight improvement in the ISM Manufacturing PMI, projected at 47.7 versus the previous reading of 47.6, as well as an uptick in ISM Manufacturing Prices, forecasted at 48.6 compared to the previous 48.4.
A result surpassing expectations could strengthen the USD and further dampen gold's prospects. Conversely, a mixed or weaker-than-anticipated outcome may offer some reprieve to XAUUSD traders, potentially turning the tide in favor of the precious metal.
Analyzing the 1-hour timeframe chart for XAUUSD, several key technical indicators underscore the bearish sentiment:
In the event of a correction, the market is likely to encounter resistance in the 1853-1950 range, as highlighted within a pink rectangle. The next support zone for XAUUSD can be found at 1820-1825.
Forecast 39.8, versus 39.8 previous.
Forecast 43.4, versus 43.4 previous.
Forecast 44.2, versus 44.2 previous.
Forecast 48.9, versus 48.9 previous.
Forecast 47.9, versus 47.6 previous.
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