Baxia Markets
October 19, 2023

Canadian Retail Sales Awaited as USD/CAD Maintains Uptrend

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In yesterday's New York trading session, USDCAD experienced a rally, and today it continues its winning streak by trading near 1.3720 during the Asian session on Thursday. Despite the release of better-than-expected Canadian housing data on Wednesday, the currency pair is receiving upward support due to the prevailing risk-on sentiment.


Thursday is shaping up to provide a substantial influx of economic insights in the United States. The economic calendar features crucial events such as Existing Home Sales, the Philly Fed index, and the weekly Jobless Claims report, collectively offering a comprehensive analysis of various economic aspects. Additionally, attention is turning to Canada's Retail Sales data set to be unveiled on Friday.

Canadian Retail Sales Awaited as USD/CAD Maintains Uptrend

USDCAD Technical Overview

Key technical indicators, specifically the EMA 50 and EMA 200, have displayed a bullish sentiment since last Friday. This bullish sentiment is anticipated to persist unless forthcoming US economic data reveals signs of weakness.


Furthermore, the MACD indicator is signaling a bullish sentiment, with both the histogram and the signal line positioned above the 0 line. Keep an eye on potential buying opportunities when the histogram crosses under the signal line during weakness.


Regarding support levels, it is crucial to keep a close watch on the range between 1.3677 and 1.3703, delineated by a magenta rectangle. A bullish continuation can be anticipated unless there is a breakout to the downside from this critical zone during the day.

Key Economic News to Watch Today

US, Initial Jobless Claim

Forecast 212K vs Previous 209K

US,  Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 

Forecast -6.4% vs Previous -13.5%

US, Existing Home Sales

Forecast 3.89M  vs Previous 4.04M

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