Baxia Markets
April 01, 2024

Technical Analysis: US Oil's Strong Rally Continues Amidst Bullish Sentiment

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US Oil prices have embarked on a robust bullish streak over the past three days, showcasing resilience in the face of market dynamics. This bullish momentum has enabled prices to maintain a strong position above both the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 50 and 200. However, today's market saw a brief retracement, finding support at the EMA 50 level. Analysts warn that a break below this key level, coupled with breaching the lower Bollinger band, could signal the onset of a bearish reversal, especially if accompanied by a death cross formation on the EMA 50 and 200.Technical Analysis: US Oil's Strong Rally Continues Amidst Bullish Sentiment

In terms of technical indicators, both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reflect prevailing bullish sentiment. The RSI has repeatedly touched overbought levels in the past 24 trading hours, underscoring the strength of the bullish trend. However, traders are advised to exercise caution as prices approach the resistance level near $84, coinciding with overbought conditions. Meanwhile, the MACD, while still above the baseline, is showing signs of losing momentum, with its signal line pointing towards the zero line. A potential bearish reversal could be signaled if the MACD signal line crosses below zero and the RSI dips below the 40% level.

Overall, the outlook for US Oil remains bullish, with the potential for further highs as long as key technical indicators continue to support the upward trajectory. Traders are advised to closely monitor these indicators for any shifts in market sentiment that could signal a reversal in the prevailing trend.


Key Takeaways:

  1. US Oil sees a robust bullish rally over the past three days.
  2. Prices maintain position above EMA 50 and 200, signaling strength.
  3. Brief retracement finds support at EMA 50, potential bearish reversal if breached.
  4. RSI and MACD indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, with caution near resistance.
  5. Overall outlook remains bullish, but vigilance required for potential trend shifts.


Key Economic Releases to Watch Today

USD, S&P Global Manufacturing

Forecast 52.5 vs Previous 52.5

USD,  ISM Manufacturing PMI

Forecast 48.5 vs Previous 47.8



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