Baxia Markets
July 12, 2023

Australian Dollar Faces Resistance Amidst Global Economic Uncertainty

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The Australian dollar has encountered resistance in recent trading sessions, struggling to rally beyond the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average and the 0.67 level. This article examines the current market conditions and highlights the key factors influencing the Australian dollar's movement. Traders must closely monitor global economic trends and China's economic performance to navigate the currency's future direction effectively.



The 0.66 level has provided support for the Australian dollar, establishing a crucial point of interest in the market. A break below this level could lead to a further decline to 0.65. Conversely, surpassing the resistance at 0.67 might open the path towards the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average near 0.6750 and the previous resistance at 0.68. These levels serve as potential areas of interest for traders keen on monitoring the currency's movement.


Chinese Deflation could potentially hurt the Australian dollar


The Australian dollar's performance is heavily influenced by global economic conditions and commodity markets. Monitoring global growth becomes crucial due to its significant impact on Australia's mining industry and overall economic outlook. Concerns regarding deflation in China hold negative implications for the Australian dollar, considering China's role as Australia's largest commodity customer. Therefore, market participants should closely assess the state of the global economy and China's economic performance to gain insights into the Australian dollar's future direction.


Given the prevailing market indecision, traders may find it prudent to focus on shorter-term charts for analysis and trade execution. By utilizing the daily chart as a guide, traders can identify potential entry and exit points on shorter timeframes. However, it is advisable to exercise caution and adjust position sizing accordingly, as choppy market conditions can increase the difficulty of holding trades. Maintaining a conservative approach can help manage risk during uncertain periods.


The Australian dollar's recent resistance reflects the prevailing uncertainty in the Forex market, influenced by global economic concerns. Traders must closely monitor key support and resistance levels while assessing the impact of global growth and China's economic performance on the currency's movement. Expecting continued choppy behavior within a 200 point range, traders should remain cautious and manage position sizes accordingly. Ultimately, a breakout from the range is anticipated, leading to a more substantial move in the future.

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Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. 


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