Baxia Markets
July 14, 2023

SP 500 Gains Momentum on Cooler CPI Numbers

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The recent release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) numbers in the United States, which came in lower than expected, has had a significant impact on the S&P 500. The market has shown a strong rally, with indications of an upward trajectory. In this article, we will explore the implications of this development and discuss the factors contributing to the market's resilience.


The S&P 500 exhibited a series of higher lows, indicating an encouraging trend. Furthermore, it has just broken out of a major ascending triangle, pointing towards a projected move of 120 points. At the 4400 level, there is substantial support, complemented by the presence of the 50-Day EMA in close proximity. Traders recognize the significance of the 4300 level as a major support zone. As long as this level holds, the market remains in an uptrend. This resilience suggests that Wall Street is largely unfazed by the Federal Reserve's plans to raise interest rates.

The chart shows the SP500 gains momentum

One striking aspect is the influence of the "AI narrative" on market performance. The prominence of artificial intelligence-related sectors has been a key driving force in the market. The implications of this narrative cannot be ignored, as it continues to attract significant investment. As long as more money flows into the system, traders will seek out performance, making it difficult to find a compelling reason to short the market. Consequently, a scenario is emerging wherein buyers are poised to take advantage of any market movements, thereby sustaining its upward trajectory.


Short positions ill-advised amidst potential risk appetite assets decline forecast


Shorting the market appears to be an arduous task, barring a significant breakdown below the 50-Day EMA. However, such a scenario seems unlikely, given the market's current resilience. Should a breach occur, it is probable that other risk appetite assets will experience a corresponding decline. This further emphasizes the difficulty in adopting a short position. As long as the market maintains its upward momentum and positive sentiment prevails, the prevailing trend remains intact, with a lack of viable alternatives to entice investors away from the equity market.


In summary, the S&P 500 has gained considerable momentum following the release of the CPI numbers. With higher lows, a breakout from an ascending triangle pattern, and strong support levels, the market is poised for continued growth. The influence of the AI narrative and the influx of money into the system further bolster this optimistic outlook. Shorting the market remains challenging, and buyers are likely to capitalize on any opportunities that arise.

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