Baxia Markets
By
August 10, 2023

US Dollar Eyes Upside Potential Against Yen Amidst BoJ Quantitative Easing

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The US dollar exhibited a noteworthy rally during the Tuesday trading session, breaking above the crucial ¥142.50 level and approaching the ¥143.50 level. However, as the currency pair finds itself at the pinnacle of a short-term consolidation zone, a slight pullback might be on the horizon. Despite this, investors should perceive this as a promising buying opportunity, given the market's favorable swap rate, which holds significance over the long run.

Any short-term pullbacks at the moment are met with substantial support near the ¥141.75 level. Additionally, the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average lies beneath, ascending with prominence. This region will undoubtedly attract considerable attention from traders, and further below, at the ¥138 level, which had previously acted as a major resistance, is now anticipated to serve as a crucial support level. As of now, it seems unlikely that the market will witness a breakdown below this level anytime soon, and thus, selling pressure remains restrained.

US Dollar Eyes Upside Potential Against Yen Amidst BoJ Quantitative Easing

 

The ¥145 level is a critical threshold to observe, as it has historically presented formidable resistance. A breakthrough above this level would likely pave the way for a substantial upward movement. In such an event, the market could have its sights set on the ¥150 level, representing the longer-term target for USD strength against the yen.

 

JPY Feels Downward Pressure due to BOJ’s Quantitative Easing Program

 

The Bank of Japan continues to implement an extensive quantitative easing program, which inevitably exerts downward pressure on the value of the Japanese yen. This policy action aligns well with the prevailing chart patterns, as the US dollar showcases its strength throughout the trading session. The dynamics at play have resulted in the current favorable conditions for USD/JPY traders.

 

As the USD/JPY currency pair demonstrates a strong bullish momentum, traders should closely monitor key support and resistance levels. While a short-term pullback may be plausible, it presents a buying opportunity, especially considering the positive swap rates. The Bank of Japan's persistent quantitative easing measures further fuel the USD's strength against the yen. A break above the ¥145 resistance could trigger a significant move upwards, with a potential longer-term target at the ¥150 level. As the market sentiment remains optimistic for the USD, the prospects of a major sell-off seem highly unlikely in the foreseeable future. As always, traders should exercise caution and employ prudent risk management strategies when engaging in financial markets.

Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. 
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Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. 

Nothing contained in this website should be construed as investment advice. Any reference to an investment's past or potential performance is not, and should not be construed as, a recommendation or as a guarantee of any specific outcome or profit

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