XAUUSD, the gold-to-US dollar trading pair, began the Asian trading session with a sideways movement, stabilizing around the 1815-1820 support level. The point of control, a key volume indicator, is positioned at 1824, marked by a yellow line within the pink-colored value area of the volume profile. Notably, there's a significant resistance zone in the vicinity of 1837-1840, highlighted by a red rectangle. This zone aligns with the low node area of the volume profile, which is marked in turquoise.
Today's trading session holds the potential for increased volatility, driven by key economic data releases. The ADP Nonfarm Employment Change and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, along with ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices, are among the noteworthy events. Economists are anticipating a lower ADP Nonfarm Employment Change figure at 153K, down from the previous 177K. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI is expected at 53.6, compared to the prior reading of 54.5. These lowered expectations by economists could potentially create buying opportunities for XAUUSD, especially if the outcomes are mixed or worse than expected, which may boost demand for gold.
Analyzing technical indicators, the MACD histogram and line currently reside below the 0 line, indicative of a bearish sentiment. However, it's worth noting that both the histogram and line are on the rise, approaching the 0 level. This suggests the possibility of a correction and an increased likelihood of a trend reversal. Meanwhile, the William % R Indicator, signaling bearish sentiment, remains below the -40 level in the short term. This could imply a modest strengthening of XAUUSD in the near future.
Forecast 153K vs Previous 177K
Forecast 53.6 vs Previous 54.5
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