Baxia Markets
By
January 23, 2024

Gold's Coiled Spring: Will the Symmetrical Triangle Spring a Surprise?

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Amidst the market's ebb and flow, Gold (XAUUSD), in a 4-hour dance, reveals an intriguing narrative of consolidation and potential breakout. Here's a closer look at the key elements shaping the current gold landscape.

 

In the heart of the gold market, XAUUSD has been treading a sideways path for the past 8 weeks on the 4-hour chart, manifesting a symmetrical triangle chart pattern. This consolidation reflects a market in transition, gathering energy like a coiled spring, hinting at an imminent bullish continuation.

Gold's Coiled Spring: Will the Symmetrical Triangle Spring a Surprise?

A crucial technical indicator, the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 50 and 200, adds a layer of complexity to the narrative. The impending crossover of these moving averages looms large, a phenomenon that could signal a bearish reversal. However, the true litmus test lies in the symmetrical triangle chart pattern. A decisive break below this geometric formation may confirm the bearish reversal hinted at by the EMAs.

 

Zooming in on oscillators, both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic present a bearish tale. The RSI, having descended below the 40% mark last week, has remained in bearish territory below 60%, suggesting persistent downward momentum. This alignment with the Stochastic indicator, signaling a bearish stance, underscores the current bearish sentiment in the gold market.

 

Key Takeaways:

  1. Sideways Ballet: XAUUSD navigates an 8-week sideways journey, creating a symmetrical triangle pattern.

  2. EMAs on the Horizon: EMA 50 and 200 stand at the brink of a crossover, a potential precursor to a bearish reversal.

  3. Symmetry's Crucial Role: The fate of gold hinges on the symmetrical triangle pattern – a break below could confirm a shift in market sentiment.

  4. RSI and Stochastic Harmony: Both oscillators, RSI and Stochastic, harmonize in a bearish tune, reinforcing the downward momentum.

  5. Awaiting the Explosion: Traders stand on the edge, anticipating the symmetrical triangle's resolution and the potential for a burst of bullish energy in XAUUSD.

Key Economic Releases to Watch Today

CAD, New Housing Price Index (MoM) (Dec)

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