Baxia Markets
September 20, 2023

Oil Prices Retreat, Wiping Out Two Days of Gains

market analysis header imageCrude Oil prices wiped the last 2 days of gains as traders awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, grappling with uncertainty about peak rates and their impact on energy demand. Economists are forecasting fewer barrels of crude oil inventories, -2.200M vs previously at 3.954M. The price of WTI could fall further if the result is higher than the forecast (higher supply of crude oil) and the FED remains the hawkish stance. Oil Prices Retreat, Wiping Out Two Days of Gains

WTI Technical Overview 

The current sentiment surrounding WTI can be characterized as neutral, given the presence of mixed signals encompassing both bullish and bearish indicators.


Firstly, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) has dipped into oversold territory, suggesting a bearish outlook. Additionally, the price has breached a critical support zone within the range of 90.423 to 90.89 (as indicated by the blue rectangle), further underscoring the bearish sentiment. Notably, this previously pivotal support zone has now assumed the role of a resistance zone, following the principle of SBR (Support Becomes Resistance).


It's also worth noting that the EMA 50 (Exponential Moving Average) remains positioned above the EMA 200, a situation often associated with bullish sentiment.


Key resistance levels to monitor include the ranges of 90.423 to 90.89 (blue rectangle) and 91.86 to 92.91 (orange rectangle). Conversely, the next significant support zone can be identified at 88.47 to 89.24.


Key Economic Indicator to Watch Today 

EU, ECB members speak   

U.S. Crude Oil Inventories   


US, FED Interest   

Forecast: 5.50%

Previous: 5.50%

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